But not until bottom.
Goal for the year of 52 pounds still seems achievable but have finally figured out what "on pace" would mean.
A calorie deficit of 134750 works out to 449/day.
I found a chart that helps me examine impact of weight loss on calorie burn:
Activity (1-hour duration) | Weight of person and calories burned | ||
---|---|---|---|
160 pounds (73 kilograms) | 200 pounds (91 kilograms) | 240 pounds (109 kilograms) |
Walking, 3.5 mph | 277 | 346 | 414 |
Thank god the chart seems linear so I will assume currently at 260 pounds I will burn 448 calories/hour and at 220 pounds I will 380 calories/hour. But for analysis purposes 410/hour should work as it would be burn over average weight if I reach goal.
Over the last 2 months (other than 2 weeks with calf injury) I walked 12 miles week to achieve calorie deficit of 5250/week so the walking portion of my week will drop from 1627 to 1435. Rest of activity should also consume 8% fewer calories at average weight which would still only be a shade over 400 calories/week hit on deficit.
I am comfortably on pace but long way to go.