But not until bottom.
Goal for the year of 52 pounds still seems achievable but have finally figured out what "on pace" would mean.
A calorie deficit of 134750 works out to 449/day.
I found a chart that helps me examine impact of weight loss on calorie burn:
|Activity (1-hour duration)||Weight of person and calories burned|
|160 pounds (73 kilograms)||200 pounds (91 kilograms)||240 pounds (109 kilograms)|
|Walking, 3.5 mph||277||346||414|
Thank god the chart seems linear so I will assume currently at 260 pounds I will burn 448 calories/hour and at 220 pounds I will 380 calories/hour. But for analysis purposes 410/hour should work as it would be burn over average weight if I reach goal.
Over the last 2 months (other than 2 weeks with calf injury) I walked 12 miles week to achieve calorie deficit of 5250/week so the walking portion of my week will drop from 1627 to 1435. Rest of activity should also consume 8% fewer calories at average weight which would still only be a shade over 400 calories/week hit on deficit.
I am comfortably on pace but long way to go.