Goals for 2009

1. Bluff LJ once out of a big pot. Lucko has already figured out that this is a ploy to keep LJ paying off monster hands but I think this year the bluff will happen.

2. Have a positive ROI in MTT on FullTilt AND PokerStars.








I was shocked to discover I had $123K in tourney cashes this year. Not so shocked that I had spent a little more than 123k in buyins to achieve this when looking at balances.

My biggest cash of the year doesn't even show up on stars because it occurred by winning a step 6 WCOOP Main Event seat. August 17th I won a step at all 6 levels turning $7.50 in 5200 $W.

This year I want profitable on both.

3. Do not go bust trying to clear IronMan bonus before the points dork.

4. Try to play within bankroll managment guidelines.

5. Win a BBT qualifying tourney.

6. Spend more time with wife and family, this summer's jolt was a reminder of what's important. But was also an eye-opener of what a warm and supportive community I have joined online.

7. Remind Recess he is a dork whenever he starts to forget.

2008 In Review

I set forth goals for 2008 and now is time to review:

1. Keep better records so I know at the end of each day what games and levels I should be playing.

Record keeping better, I always knew what games/levels I should return to when BR low.

2. Adhere to stop loss limits each day.

Colossal failure on a few days but had no 4 figure loss days which is an improvement

3. Outside of blogger events and freerolls focus play on Omaha to build bankroll to earn enough money to play WSOP preliminary event w/o it meaning BR suicide.

This was worded too vaguely to be measurable.

4. Make 2nd day of WSOP prelim event (probably involving 4 cards).

Failed

5. Final table a big buy-in online tourney (avoid crumbling under Final Table pressure if anyone has a piece of me).

Had a 7th (and 12th) in PLO $20k and 3rd in Stars O8, plus got 4th in Stars $200 PLO when 1 outed (sadly 4th was bubble)

6. Win the $4k Guarantee PLO once this year.

Done, sadly have 2 seconds with 3+ 90% opportunities for 1st since Lucko prop bet.

7. Don't go bust on any site!

Failed, luckily I have enablers that help me swap from site to site as I avoided going busto on all sites at same time

8. Don't piss off any bloggers with my posts or comments. Plays at tables to tilt are part of big picture.

NFW I ever achieve this, it is foolishness to suggest.

Biggest shocker is apparently I gave up on goal of bluffing LJ, I guess I took the no playing with rule to heart and decided it was pointless. There were a couple of rule lapses but no successful bluffs, will have to consider adding no bluff rule for next year.

On positive side I had declared "2008 - The Four Card Year", I discovered that there are rankings on Bluff Magazine in spring and with 2 weeks to go in year I am hanging on to the 10th ranking. Sadly my PLO tourney play was only marginally profitable as the sats to FTOPS PLO do not count but the not cashing in FTOPS PLO does count.

3+ Hours of life gone

I played a 10k person SNG, I can't help but think I wasted valuable monitor space.

PokerStars Tournament #130145060, No Limit Hold'em
Buy-In: $1.00/$0.10
10000 players
$10000.00 added to the prize pool by PokerStars
Total Prize Pool: $20000.00
Tournament started 2008/12/28 18:57:15 ET
Dear bayne_s,
You finished the tournament in 445th place.
A $8.00 award has been credited to your Real Money account.

I also outlased 33k+ other donkeys in the Star's "World Record" $500k. Key to run was not picking up KK until late. I was down to 5 BBs and A rag had to jam from button. Rude part was when 23o called off last 6 BBs with 23o and turned 2nd pair to knock me out.

Chat from $125k

Robinson47: lucksacklucksakclucksack
Robinson47: lets sit around for hurs
Robinson47: hours
Robinson47: wait for a race
Robinson47: and cross our fingers
Robinson47: the evenetual winner is the flip master

I think waffles is multiaccounting!

Merry Christmas

Teenage daughter woke us up at a reasonable 8:15 to open presents. There were no ugly incidents this year. The gift I chose for daughter was ipod docking station speakers. Kid's reaction was "I'll keep in closet because I have a CD player." Learned despite kid ripping all her CDs into itunes she only has 2 CDs loaded into ipod.

Wife 'liked" her gift "but chain of necklace was too short" being male should I know more than choker or necklace?

Now we move to 2nd phase of Christmas celebration which is phone calls to east coast relatives. The 3 of us are approaching 10th anniversary of move to California. Kid is truly a Californian now so don't think we could move for another 5 years without repercussions.

Stage 3 is watching Hoops, eating and eggnog.

A PC Happy Holidays to those not celebrating Christmas.

Personal Choices

While completing 1st trip of moving luggage to car as we checked out of Harvey's Lake Tahoe this weekend I saw a woman in sweats get off elevator and I thought she had swimsuit straps showing. I got back to room and snapped picture of her swimming. Pool deck still has snow accumulations because it was 26 degrees out. Desk clerk told me at check out that they heat the water to 85 degrees. I have got to think that it is an invigorating sprint to get out of pool, get to towel and get inside. There is also a hot tub in picture heated to 105, I love a good soak expecially after skiing (when I did ski) but that did not seem inviting either.

I chose to quit playing poker on AbsolutePoker in late 2006 because they rarely had a good Omaha table. I told UltimateBet they had to give me rakeback or I would take my business elsewhere about the same timeframe. I set a deadline and transferred all my AP money to UB and got busted by DaveBreal playing $2/$4 PLO8 as I decided that I was going to cash out for $1000+ or nothing. He hit one of his 4 scoop outs to bust me, but it was top set + nut or 2nd low vs. nut low + wheel wrap + flush draw.

I subsequently have played on sites when they have given me $10 or $25 to come back but doubt I will make a deposit again. It is my choice and really FullTilt has been best site for me anyway.

Chad and Hoy and others (no link for you as I will not be outing you to the moral outrage of others) have decided they like UBs tourney structure enough that it outweighs the risk that UB will cheat them out of bankrolls. Poker is a game of risk/reward, they are adults and able to form their own decision.

Mondogarage has a post up outlining an opposing view. I know that going to WMD/Iraq/Saddam references is reflexive for the nanny state liberals. "Bush is evil" is 2000s version of 1950s comparisons to Hitler. It is intellectually lazy and I find it particularly annoying when used in Chad attack. Lightning had an awesome comment using Animal House reference in his response to Mondo.

The final paragraph:

"But if you're okay playing on a site known to cheat, then you may be equally okay with playing in a tournament while girly chatting with someone else at your table during the tournament? Then you might just be okay with "just this once" IMing about a hand while its in progress? It's a slippery slope, is all I'm saying."

Is quite a leap. If you have ever met Chad or Hoy or spent any time with them I doubt you would think they are capable of cheating. However it is reasonable to think of them as arrogant assholes.

Biggest Bodog cash ever

Thanks Chad!

Tahoe this weekend for me. Have a good one.

My week in the $4k

Monday - flop 3 p + flush draw, bet pot, 3rd flush draw repots, AA82 initial raiser calls turn Ace, I river losing boat.

Tuesday - flop set of Aces, bet 1/2 pot, bottom set repots, I jam for a tiny bit more getting 9:1 on call bottom set rivers quads.

Wednesday - flop middle set against top and bottom pair, it is not the preflop raiser that CR A high flop. I jam he hits river Ace.

2 outs, 1 out, 2 out week so far and I ask waffles for his take:

sirfwalgman: poker is dumb
sirfwalgman: lol
Bayne: can I quote that
sirfwalgman: yeah
sirfwalgman: say "Only idiots like Prison Guard waterboard wannabees define themselves by poker"

Late edit:
Ironically right after I hit publish I eliminated Mookie from the Mookie with a river 2 outer and taunted him before I made pre-flop call with AQ (vs AA).

Work Lunch Question

No Poker Content:

We had a going away lunch for one of the co-workers today. Company is small so each time someone leaves it is sad because very noticable.

We ended up with two tables of 16 and two separate checks (with gratuity already added for parties of 6+)

Table I was seated at had one woman but she was the guest of honor. Our check was $357 and change so "table captain" collected $24 from everyone but guest of honor.

Other table was comprised of 10 women and 6 men, woman who made reservations was handed the check and they passed check around table and each put in what they thought was fair portion.

I did politely wait until after I left restaurant to laugh at the squabbling over who had not put in fair share and left them short.

What is driver behind choice to split evenly vs. paying proportionally?

Today I had diet coke rather than beer and was not influenced to not split.

Winter WPBT Report

Friday I arrived at MGM later than planned.

In a wafflesque move the only Southwest flight departing San Jose with a delay was mine and it was 2+ hours late.

The MGM Sports bar had a deal going where you could buy a $9 Beer in a 32 (or 44) oz glass and get $5 refills all night. I definitely extracted value from that and got sloshed.

Apologies to Blogger Mixed game for my horrible poker faux paus of commenting on a hand in progress I was not involved with:

Blinders raised 3rd street with an Ace up and led out again when he also got an Ace on 4th, "At which point STANDING next to table I blurted out "You know he's got a set to lead out", I then slunk away from table in shame, I did sneak back to table to see that PirateLawyer had called him down with a set of 7s and was somewhat relieved that my comment had helped Blinder's reinforce image and PL either made good read or was being calling station and had not let my comment influence him either. As penance I drank more.

I talked to JoeSpeaker for the 1st time, goal was to apologise to him for going off on him in chatbox a couple of years ago during WPBT PLO. It ended up costing me $2 as the bad beat that prompted my blowup was mentioned and the cagey Rooster was quick to insist on $1, I also had to pay Mr Speaker off so lesson learned.

Rest of evening is a drunken blur other than a brutal craps session with Vinnay and then staggering back to Bally's via Planet Hollywood and taking losses on 2 more craps tables.

Kudos to Falstaff and the Venetian for a fine tournament. Saw some old nemesis and made a new nemesis.

Chad once asked in chat "Do you ever win a pot where you haven't coolered someone?"

Joshua found out the answer the hard way when he dared raise my BB with AKo and I was holding crabs. The A K 3 flop sealed his fate when he indignantly shoved on my check raise and saw he was the one drawing to 4 outs that did not come.

I busted Carmen's mom when her top pair on flop was no good against my AA to become big stack at table.

It was short lived as BigMike won a flip aginst my QQ so I was back to starting stack when I was moved next to Carmen and opposite the old nemesis. It was mostly frustrating table as I was card dead and not getting a lot of 1st raise opportunity Pender to my right was raising a lot in front of me and was willing to flip for pots if reraised with hands better than I was being dealt but a wide range. Still hovering near starting stack and blinds in 300/600 range I told Columbo I was going to have to raise his BB since I could always out flop him and looking at my cards was a waste of time. I had quickly peeked at AKdd and raised and Columbo asked SB if he looked. It folded to Columbo and after much delay and me asking "would it help to know if I looked?" Columbo asked how much I had behind before raising to 4k. I quickly jammed to 9500 and Columbo tanked again before folding. I showed my AK which gave me the advantage in what MiamiDon had billed as the "Battle of the Cockroaches" and could claim that victory when Columbo exited 1st.

I managed to lay an AJ (sooted) outflopping AK beat on Change for a well earned ceramic donkey. I am hoping I get to keep but daughter saw it this morning and made some comment about it being "too artsy" for me. I fear my trophy may disappear into daughter's room by the time I get home.

The poker tourney structure had an ugly twist when it suddenly went from 1k/2k 100 ante to 3k/6k 300 ante. I had a lot of 2 small hands which I folded until I was down to 2500 behind my 3k BB when Astin raised. I manged to crack his JJ with Q9 and built up to around 20k chips when Dawn Summers jammed UTG (for 3.5 BBs), the aggressive flip seeking Pender rejammed and I looking at JJ decided it was time to triple of go home. It was good spot as I was against 99 and AT but of course Ace came on flop and I did not improve while Dawn was shouting "Now Hold"

Sunday was spent watching Bucs lose a close game with Falcons, watching Dawn absolutely pwn CK in football knowledge quiz, taunting Recess and Buddy during Ravens Steelers game and getting further crushed at the craps tables.

Ran so out of gas on trip report

Quick post

Saw clip above on Rachel Maddow Show.
Now that we are past election ban on watching Countdown, Maddow or Fox News has been lifted in Bayne household. I like that dude included last prediction.

Got home a tiny bit too late to play Bodog thanks to software update. Thanks Bodog for timing of that one.

Flight to Las Vegas takes off in 3 hours.

Prop Bet Progress

Smokkee increased his Bodonkey lead on waffles leaving world's worst poker player in a position where he might say it is Mookie or nothing for prop bet. I managed to cash and was chip leader when bubble broke (as well as a large portion of tournament). I managed to river a set early against oossuuu and flop a set against (non con artist) donkette to chip up early. Sadly I "Smokkeed" blowing off most of my chips with A-rag and the rest with a small pp.

Software and Poker

As an Omatard I have not seen a need to use poker software. Knowing if someone only raises AAxx or KKxx hands and who is willing to go broke flopping bottom set or go to felt with non-nut flush is enough information to make PLO quite lucrative.

I have decided to make a foray into NLHE cash again because to play PLO cash anymore requires me to play sporadically full ring or 6 Max which is much higher variance. Reading hand histories from the spiritpot crew, recess, bone and gnome are constantly starting with lines like "villain is a donk, 40/11 over 55 hands" or villain is Tag, 15/10".

I have received recomendations weighing merits of Poker Track 3 vs. Hold'em manager, suggestions for hot key utilites and SNG signup utilities from Chad and a myriad of other functions such as hand history displays and bankroll managment software. http://www.pokersoftware.com/ is an affiliate site (that pokerXfactor's 'Fox' seems involved with) that offers reviews of many poker software titles categorised by type and if you sign up for a poker site through them you can get software 'free' through pokersoftware.com. I will apparently have to wait for a new room or try carbon poker out as I already have an account with every other site.

The Omaha Indicator looks intriguing to try as Omaha does not draw nearly the tool development as Hold'em but would like to see what it's odds calculator tells me as I play and the "You have the Nutz" indication may come in handy on occaison when wife/kid are providing distractions. Problem would be any software that alerts you that "YOU HAVE THE NUTS!" would violate the one player/hand standard and be cheating while Stars and Tilt have included TOS caveats that Hold'em Manager and PT3 data gathering from tables you occupy is not cheating.

StatikKling also seems to have written a poker application that Combines multiple Full Tilt Tourney files into a single file that looks interseting when loading tourney into PokerTracker or a hand replayer.

PokerSoftware.com also has reviews of various SNG/ICM trainers, boards to discuss poker software and many more categories for all of us to explore as we try to improve poker games.

They may even have something that can help the Worlds Worst Poker Player!

Latest Prop Bet

After seeing the deluded one's post I immediately saw an opening to goad the World's Worst Prop Bettor (WWPB) into a wager. If WWPB takes over top spot on the Mookie, Bodog, Skillz or NYRPS by the end of year.

My analysis of chances.
Bodog ZERO
Skillz ZERO
NYRPS ZERO (Game is PLO next week too bwahahaha)
Mookie 5% since LJ has assumed Mookie ownership.

From Nadia's email:

On Tuesday December 9th, there will be a T$109 bounty on the head of Iggy, The Blogfather of Poker, and on Thursday December 11th, there will also be a T$109 bounty on the head of Smokkee, the Bodog blogger tournament series host and the ONLY poker blogger to successfully seize his own bounty!Both T$109 bounties are to play in Bodog's $100,000 Guaranteed Poker Tournament that occurs each Sunday at 4pm. With one of the biggest overlays in the industry, the value of this tournament is literally unbeatable. Whatever your skill set as a poker player, it's a perfect chance to win a fat cash payout.Tournament news, recaps and details are available at the official tournament series site at bodogbloggertournament.comYou don't want to miss these tournaments! Download Bodog poker and register for this series today! May the luckiest poker bloggers take the T$109 bounties!
The Bodog Poker Blogger

4 Days to Vegas

I'm a Nissan 350Z!

You're not the fastest or the most agile, but you have style and power. You believe in looking good and moving quickly -- without breaking the bank.

"Take the Which Sports Car Are You? quiz.
Fawking tech savvy Oh Captain.

NFL Note:

Colts, Saints and Packers are all that stand in the way of Lions and history.

Packers week 17 are only ones with nothing to play for but avoiding shame of providing only win.


I am sure the old ball coach will lift a beer to celebrate!

Freerolls are +EV

I have registered to play in the PokerStars World Blogger Championship of Online Poker!

This PokerStars tournament is a No Limit Texas Hold’em event exclusive to Bloggers.

Registration code: 239298

Bodonkey Recap

As I drove into work this morning I heard this song



during the Woody Show on Live105 as part of a "worst local band" segment. Song lyrics still cracked me up.

Similar talent was on display at the Bodonkey last night, I had two hands lose to rivered gutters, got dealt AA three times and only collected the blinds (once when Hoy gave me a walk in BB) and had an A rag lose to a desperate Hoy shove of KQs when river Ace gave Hoy flush. The UTG limp call with JTo was the most surprising aspect of how that hand played out.

Mookie is tonight and I should make it as I have completed anniversary preparations.
Been married 14 years 365 days now. I will have to check with east coast friends on where they set the over/under.

"1940s Offense"

Watch CBS Videos Online

A bitter sports expert referred to the Georgia Tech Offense as a "1940s Offense" as they ran all over his team in a previous game.

I missed the 2nd quarter of the Georgia Tech @ Georgia game as I had to go with wife as she got "routine mammogram". Ladies please get checked (Waffles will examine too but he is no expert).

We managed to get to StJohn's for lunch (they have a close to authentic Philly Cheesesteak available) and the start of a very enjoyable 3rd quarter. Outscoring rivals 24-0 in a quarter while outgaining them 204 - 1 is sweet.

I giglied Saturdays with DrPauly when I put Spaceman on AA rather than set of kings.

Moving from Petaluma

My wife has been busting my chops lately for moving from Petaluma which had lower cost of living. Momentum turned last night as demon child was slated to go to Casa Grande High School if we hadn't moved.

Will still try to bust guest bounty player Eric "Rizen" Lynch in the Bodog Blogger Tournament Series tonight. Although it will not provide the same joy as busting waffles when he makes a donkey move.

LockPoker

For those who want a new Online Poker Download with the option of playing an automated pushfest.

User Interface for tables has familar look though I find the Chongi Li from Bloodsport a little intimidating.

LockPocker RNG is very similar to current RNG on all other sites.

Whether it is this hand where we got all in pre-flop.

showing me Online Texas Holdem is not for me.

or my final PLO cash hand:

Dealt to baynes [ 8s 9h 7h 7s ]
chee***: calls
Simp***: calls
puck***: folds
Blac***: folds
adam***: calls
pref***: calls
baynes: calls
Rais***: calls
pdfh***: folds
mast***: checks
@@@ F_L_O_P @@@ [ 6c 7d 5h ]
mast***: checks
chee***: checks
Simp***: checks
adam***: checks
pref***: checks
baynes: bets $3.75
Rais***: folds
mast***: raises to $15
chee***: folds
Simp***: folds
adam***: folds
pref***: folds
baynes: is all in 17.2000
mast***: calls
baynes: shows 8s 9h 7h 7s
mast***: shows Td 8d 5s 4h
# # # TURN # # # [ 5c ]
&&& RIVER &&& [ 5d ]
*** SHOW DOWN ***
mast*** wins $43.40 with Four of a Kind, Fives

I did play some lunchtime PLO and Limit O8. Making money is clearly possible but there is some variance. In limit O8 there were numerous occaisons where people chased an A2 low on possible flush board one card to come (heads up or with many) and there was lots of betting non nut draws and non nut hands.

Lock does not offer rakeback and I did not study bonus program enough to evaluate.

The Waffles Gift

Tonight the deluded one is the Bounty boy in the Bodog poker tourney. He was interviewed by bodog (obviously before his shallow Mookie run) and exhibited the extent of his lack of self-awareness. 9:05 PM ET on Bodog try to be blogger with position as he will exit early.

I made cameo appearance on BD Radio but every time I spoke my wife thought I was talking to her.

Continued a trend in 4k of going out 40-60th with AA. Some clown raised AT74 (suited Ace) I reraised my AAT8 getting 4300 of my 6k chips in preflop only to see Q72 rainbow flop where I got jammed and lost on turn 7. Beauty of hand is every time money goes in dude is 2:1 dog but once he calls pre-flop he is committed on whiffed flop as well.

Non-poker content follows:

US Bank has completed their fraud "investigation" and have concluded I opened "premier line of credit" and made transfer at "financial institution" on Aug 8. Wife and I do have a joint account at US Bank but it is really her account and my only trip to a US Bank branch was to pick up a moneygram when FullTilt's bank transfer and check requests weren't working for me. I am quite sure I would have remembered doing paperwork for line. I was quite drunk Aug 8 and spent most of day at Planet Hollywood's Pleasure pit playing blackjack, don't believe I borrowed an I-Phone to do on-line banking. Their customer service has been appallingly bad as they also refused to talk to my wife about the line sending her on full blown monkey tilt.

My theory on what really happened was a bank employee opened account for me in order to meet quota or bonus and there must be some transfer of funds component to bonus as funds were transfered from new account to account of wife's.

I would like to request of blogger community when you open new bank account do not choose US Bank! But if you do you were warned so your fault.

My Plan for Auto Industry

Hoy presented his take on auto industry yesterday and I feel it is only fair that the Silicon Valley slant also be applied to problem.

The main beneficiary of the Big 3 automakers current product line is OPEC. So let Saudi Arabia buy them out. They would be following HP's model of producing printers at break-even (waffles accounting) while selling the ink for the profits.

When I was in college (1980-1984) a few of my friends managed to get "union jobs" in steel mills and auto manufacturing in rust belt. They generally got paid $17/hour, 1.5x over 40 and 2.5x for Sunday hours. They would work 70 hour weeks until they hit 490 total hours because at 500 hours they got benefits. I know unions have made some concessions since then but I have to believe Big 3 have fatally flawed managment/union relationship that no amount of bailout money can truly fix.

FTOPS X

I almost made it to the end of FTOPS without playing any of the events. But after winning 1st satellite and going 5/7 in super-turbo sats I decided to play Event #24.

Sadly I ran into the super jackAce to exit:

Full Tilt Poker Game #9007743756: FTOPS Event #24 (62640533), Table 80 - 40/80 - No Limit Hold'em - 15:12:47 ET - 2008/11/16
Seat 1: bodymindarts (7,735)
Seat 2: davemck1 (2,890)
Seat 3: KilLars (8,250)
Seat 4: SPALL KING (10,115)
Seat 5: weinis (3,310)
Seat 6: omahabenzo (7,485)
Seat 7: MaryGeorge82 (9,100)
Seat 8: Zoaraster (5,525)
Seat 9: bayne_s (6,015)
weinis posts the small blind of 40
omahabenzo posts the big blind of 80
The button is in seat #4
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to bayne_s [Ac Ah]
MaryGeorge82 folds
Zoaraster folds
bayne_s raises to 240
bodymindarts calls 240
davemck1 folds
KilLars folds
SPALL KING folds
weinis folds
omahabenzo has 15 seconds left to act
omahabenzo calls 160
*** FLOP *** [6s 3d Qd]
omahabenzo checks
bayne_s bets 700
bodymindarts has 15 seconds left to act
bodymindarts raises to 2,250
omahabenzo folds
bayne_s raises to 5,775, and is all in
bodymindarts calls 3,525
bayne_s shows [Ac Ah]
bodymindarts shows [Ad Jd]
*** TURN *** [6s 3d Qd] [2h]
*** RIVER *** [6s 3d Qd 2h] [Kd]
bayne_s shows a pair of Aces
bodymindarts shows a flush, Ace high
bodymindarts wins the pot (12,310) with a flush, Ace high
bayne_s stands up

A perfectly played Super Turbo

Full Tilt Poker Game #8989610440: Super Turbo Sat to FTOPS #23 (68810373), Table 1 - 15/30 - Pot Limit Omaha Hi - 15:19:36 ET - 2008/11/15
Seat 1: 8killmurph8 (100)
Seat 2: gaeitds (100)
Seat 3: oldani311 (100)
Seat 4: A_Ivanovich (100)
Seat 5: dms460 (100)
Seat 6: EddieRH (100)
Seat 7: XXTHEILLNESSXX (100)
Seat 8: bagopoop (100)
Seat 9: bayne_s (100)
8killmurph8 posts the small blind of 15
gaeitds posts the big blind of 30
The button is in seat #9
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to bayne_s [6c Tc Js 4s]
oldani311 calls 30
A_Ivanovich has 15 seconds left to act
A_Ivanovich raises to 100, and is all in
dms460 folds
EddieRH folds
XXTHEILLNESSXX calls 100, and is all in
bagopoop calls 100, and is all in
bayne_s folds Hand not connected well fold called for
8killmurph8 calls 85, and is all in
gaeitds calls 70, and is all in
oldani311 calls 70, and is all in
A_Ivanovich shows [Ah Ad 8h 5c]
XXTHEILLNESSXX shows [6d 4c 5s 3s]
bagopoop shows [Kc Kh As Jd]
8killmurph8 shows [9c Ac Td Ks]
gaeitds shows [9d 7s 8s Qs]
oldani311 shows [6h 7c 2c 2h]
*** FLOP *** [Kd 3c 8c]
*** TURN *** [Kd 3c 8c] [Ts]
*** RIVER *** [Kd 3c 8c Ts] [Qh]
A_Ivanovich shows a pair of Aces
XXTHEILLNESSXX shows a pair of Threes
bagopoop shows a straight, Ace high
8killmurph8 shows two pair, Kings and Tens
gaeitds shows two pair, Queens and Eights
oldani311 shows a pair of Twos
bagopoop wins the pot (600) with a straight, Ace high
XXTHEILLNESSXX stands up
A_Ivanovich stands up
oldani311 stands up
gaeitds stands up
8killmurph8 stands up
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot 600 Rake 0
Board: [Kd 3c 8c Ts Qh]
Seat 1: 8killmurph8 (small blind) showed [9c Ac Td Ks] and lost with two pair, Kings and Tens
Seat 2: gaeitds (big blind) showed [9d 7s 8s Qs] and lost with two pair, Queens and Eights
Seat 3: oldani311 showed [6h 7c 2c 2h] and lost with a pair of Twos
Seat 4: A_Ivanovich showed [Ah Ad 8h 5c] and lost with a pair of Aces
Seat 5: dms460 didn't bet (folded)
Seat 6: EddieRH didn't bet (folded)
Seat 7: XXTHEILLNESSXX showed [6d 4c 5s 3s] and lost with a pair of Threes
Seat 8: bagopoop showed [Kc Kh As Jd] and won (600) with a straight, Ace high
Seat 9: bayne_s (button) didn't bet (folded)


Full Tilt Poker Game #8989623158: Super Turbo Sat to FTOPS #23 (68810373), Table 1 - 15/30 - Pot Limit Omaha Hi - 15:20:23 ET - 2008/11/15
Seat 5: dms460 (100)
Seat 6: EddieRH (100)
Seat 8: bagopoop (600)
Seat 9: bayne_s (100)
dms460 posts the big blind of 30
The button is in seat #1
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to bayne_s [Ad Jd 9s 6s]
EddieRH calls 30
bagopoop raises to 120
EddieRH: omg
bayne_s folds
I would have been tempted to play against similar stacks but I am 2nd stack if 2 folds
dms460 has 15 seconds left to act
dms460 calls 70, and is all in
EddieRH has 15 seconds left to act
EddieRH calls 70, and is all in
bagopoop shows [Kh 4c 2c Kc]
dms460 shows [Qs 8d Td Jh]
EddieRH shows [6d 4h 4s 9c]
Uncalled bet of 20 returned to bagopoop
*** FLOP *** [7h 5h Ks]
*** TURN *** [7h 5h Ks] [7d]
*** RIVER *** [7h 5h Ks 7d] [4d]
bagopoop shows a full house, Kings full of Sevens
dms460 shows a pair of Sevens
EddieRH shows a full house, Fours full of Sevens
bagopoop wins the pot (300) with a full house, Kings full of Sevens
EddieRH stands up
dms460 stands up
bayne_s stands up

Ship the seat

bagopoop stands up
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot 300 Rake 0
Board: [7h 5h Ks 7d 4d]
Seat 5: dms460 (big blind) showed [Qs 8d Td Jh] and lost with a pair of Sevens
Seat 6: EddieRH showed [6d 4h 4s 9c] and lost with a full house, Fours full of Sevens
Seat 8: bagopoop showed [Kh 4c 2c Kc] and won (300) with a full house, Kings full of Sevens
Seat 9: bayne_s didn't bet (folded)

Milking your opponent

Full Tilt Poker Game #8910264908: $4,000 Guarantee (68064956), Table 1 - 25/50 - Pot Limit Omaha Hi - 21:36:34 ET - 2008/11/10
Seat 1: kmberlake (3,045), is sitting out
Seat 2: watchitbob (4,010)
Seat 3: usmc_grunt29 (2,895)
Seat 4: FNdonkey (1,605)
Seat 5: PapaWood619 (3,085)
Seat 6: bayne_s (2,220)
Seat 7: DenmarkGirl (210)
Seat 8: friedegg1 (4,635)
Seat 9: nothinontv (5,295)
bayne_s posts the small blind of 25
DenmarkGirl posts the big blind of 50
The button is in seat #5
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to bayne_s [Th 2c As Ts]
friedegg1 folds
nothinontv folds
kmberlake folds
watchitbob calls 50
usmc_grunt29 folds
FNdonkey calls 50
PapaWood619 folds
bayne_s calls 25
DenmarkGirl checks
*** FLOP *** [Jc Tc Td]
bayne_s checks

Made tactical decision to see if shorty would represent.

DenmarkGirl bets 160, and is all in
watchitbob has 15 seconds left to act
watchitbob folds
FNdonkey calls 160

w00t got someone with chips in

bayne_s calls 160
*** TURN *** [Jc Tc Td] [7h]
bayne_s bets 250

let's represent hitting straight draw to get a few more chips in

FNdonkey calls 250
*** RIVER *** [Jc Tc Td 7h] [Ah]
bayne_s bets 550

chosen carefully in case this was someone who limped AA

FNdonkey raises to 1,145, and is all in
bayne_s calls 595
*** SHOW DOWN ***
FNdonkey shows [Qh Js Jd 3h] a full house, Jacks full of Tens

crap all that work and he would have called a shove on the flop

bayne_s shows [Th 2c As Ts] four of a kind, Tens
bayne_s wins the side pot (2,790) with four of a kind, Tens
DenmarkGirl mucks
bayne_s wins the main pot (680) with four of a kind, Tens
DenmarkGirl is sitting out
DenmarkGirl stands up
FNdonkey stands up

Went out later on another hand that I think I played fine but so did opponent:

*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to bayne_s [4s Js 6c 4c]
ace_gold_26 folds
DaWrench folds
sportnAwoody folds
thefeeling folds
Kartes folds
squeakmidge folds
gildabeansjp calls 600
bayne_s checks
*** FLOP *** [7c 3c 5d]
gildabeansjp bets 2,400
bayne_s raises to 8,860, and is all in
gildabeansjp calls 6,460
bayne_s shows [4s Js 6c 4c]
gildabeansjp shows [8s 4d Kh 6d]
*** TURN *** [7c 3c 5d] [Jd]
*** RIVER *** [7c 3c 5d Jd] [9s]
bayne_s shows a straight, Seven high
gildabeansjp shows a straight, Nine high
gildabeansjp wins the pot (20,120) with a straight, Nine high

Getting older sucks, but it beats the alternative.
Originally I had 7 Uncles, the evil uncle died almost 20 years ago.
Last 12 months 3 more uncles have died with most recentdeath coming yesterday. Being in late 70s the recent deaths are not unexpected by actuarial tables but losing 3 of the 4 in that age group seems like low odds.

RIP Jerry

Bodog tonight offers chance to bust Evelyn Ng.

In a funk

My mindset is really not right for poker, but I continue to play.

My uncle that taught me about investing (though he refused to teach me about selling short or buying puts) died today due to cancer.  Unfortunate thing about reaching mid 40s is the older generation of your family tends to be passing.

My parents and sister visited him this past weekend and shared a story that made me smile.

"Aunt Becky appears to be holding up fairly well.  All his affairs have been taken care of including funeral arrangements.  He will be cremated with the services at Wrightsville Beach at the Methodist Church.  Becky still had enough spunk left to give the funeral home a dressing down.  They tried to sell her a $9,000 casket and she asked it they were out of their fucking minds.  She wasn't   accustomed to burning boxes that expensive.  This harangue apparently went on for a few minutes.   I think they were glad to finally get her out of there.  The ashes will be placed in a Memorial Bench which has space for two."

Ten Percent

The Governator has proposed a 1.5% sales tax increase which will bring local sales taxes to 10%.
I think a portion of my income is already taxed at 9% by the state.
10% of my co-workers were laid off by my company this week.
The stock market is down 10% since election.

And it feels like I have a 10% chance to have a bigger pocket pair old up when approaching the bubble of a tournament.

Full Tilt Poker Game #8847835762: $4,000 Guarantee (67537767), Table 24 - 200/400 - Pot Limit Omaha Hi - 23:20:16 ET - 2008/11/06
Seat 2: Xavier Danger (6,812)
Seat 3: PINTHEKING (29,140)
Seat 4: kinzite (19,654)
Seat 5: godlike5 (10,812)
Seat 6: ZanosiKapusta (14,765)
Seat 7: dpalermo (4,082)
Seat 8: bayne_s (11,021)
Seat 9: airsham (40,294)
kinzite posts the small blind of 200
godlike5 posts the big blind of 400
The button is in seat #3
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to bayne_s [Ah 8c As 8d]
ZanosiKapusta calls 400
kinzite: hee hawww
dpalermo calls 400
kinzite: M8
bayne_s raises to 2,200
airsham folds
Xavier Danger folds
PINTHEKING folds
kinzite raises to 7,800
godlike5 folds
airsham: keep raising every hand
ZanosiKapusta folds
dpalermo folds
bayne_s raises to 11,021, and is all in
kinzite calls 3,221
bayne_s shows [Ah 8c As 8d]
kinzite shows [Ks Jh 3s Kc]
PINTHEKING: nice raise, but it's only Hi!!!
*** FLOP *** [5h 8s 9s]
*** TURN *** [5h 8s 9s] [Ts]
*** RIVER *** [5h 8s 9s Ts] [7d]
bayne_s shows three of a kind, Eights
kinzite shows a flush, King high
kinzite wins the pot (23,242) with a flush, King high
bayne_s stands up
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot 23,242 Rake 0
Board: [5h 8s 9s Ts 7d]
Seat 2: Xavier Danger didn't bet (folded)
Seat 3: PINTHEKING (button) didn't bet (folded)
Seat 4: kinzite (small blind) showed [Ks Jh 3s Kc] and won (23,242) with a flush, King high
Seat 5: godlike5 (big blind) folded before the Flop
Seat 6: ZanosiKapusta folded before the Flop
Seat 7: dpalermo folded before the Flop
Seat 8: bayne_s showed [Ah 8c As 8d] and lost with three of a kind, Eights
Seat 9: airsham didn't bet (folded)

Instead of a top 5 stack I am out. kinzite had a few other suckouts to get to a top 3 stack when money bubble broke only to manage to go out 27th. I have no idea what it takes to go from 3rd to out when it was 27 paid.

Fawk Full Tilt's Bullshit RNG

Dear bayne_s,  

Your request to exclude yourself from playing on our website has now  been processed. As of 2008-11-06 01:41:17, you will be able to log  onto your Full Tilt Poker account, but will not be allowed to sit at  any of our real money (and/or play money tables).  In addition, you will not be able to deposit money into your player  account or participate in any player-to-player transfers during your  exclusion.  Your exclusion will end at 2008-11-06 13:41:17, at which time, you  will once again have full access to your player account and to all of  the games and tournaments on our site. You may request to extend your  exclusion period upon expiration, but at no time will you ever be  allowed to terminate your exclusion prior to its scheduled conclusion.  Sincerely,  Full Tilt Poker

Lost KK to TT aipf to exit Mookie.

Lost KQ to Q9s aipf to bubble one FTOPS 1 sat.

A2KK lost to A983 aipf to bubble FTOPS 2 sat.

AAK2 ds lost to 239K (3 of one of my suits) to bubble PLO8 FTOPS sat

My brief run at PLO cash A456 lost to 5789 all in in 234 flop where I had nut flush draw.

None of above matters if CHK continues to rise tomorrow.  WTF was with the 10 million shares bought early on Wednesday.

More Bodog PP

Had KK, QQ and JJ during my brief appearance in Bodonkey last night.

Lost with all because bloggers can't be expected to fold 99 (aipf).

The  KT or KJ against ep raiser or 66 limp calling a raise seem like minor offense in comparison.

Wife was too nervous to watch election coverage until I told her CNN had declared Obama winner in Ohio.  Watching Oprah and Jesse Jackson and many others crying when Obama was declared next President reminded me of how I felt when Red Sox won the World Series in 2004.  In hindsight that seems silly, baseball is just a game, all men are truly created equal today.

Chicas still have to wait though ;) 

Demon child was funny because my parents called to wish her a happy birthday.  She told my mom about mock election at school and when asked who she voted for sheepishly told my mom "Obama" then quickly handed me the phone.  This contrasted greatly from how she celebrated each time a state was declared for Obama and how she gleefully laughed or taunted Pat Buchannon as he appeared on TV.

I find myself somewhat saddened because although I wanted Obama to win, I respect McCain's desire to eliminate influence of money on elections and ironically he will almost certainly be the last candidate to accept public financing.

An Historic Day

Today Demon Child turned 14, this is last Presidential election that she does not get to vote where I got to vote. Gawd I feel old.  In mock election in her school it was 236 votes Obama, 38 votes McCain and 10 votes for McKinney (Green).  I expect Bay Area to break about the same.

I did not see the clouds part after I voted, maybe that occurs later in the day as Obama descends to save us.  I did hear a woman from Florida that was so happy that after election she would not have to worry about putting gas in her car or how to pay her mortgage.  Since work had a lay-off yesterday where I was spared maybe I should come around and embrace full-blown socialism in case I don't survive next one.

Other big ballot measure in California is proposition 8, a gawdy $73 million has been spent by both sides and proponents and detractors were holding up signs outside all 3 polling places I passed this morning.  Both sides have very good ads but the NO side is playing up the discrimination angle, while the YES side's best ad has Gavin Newsome's arrogant "whether you like it or not it's here" from when the city started issuing licenses.

8 years ago when a similar measure was on the ballot my Mom was visiting and I got home right after voting to find a heated argument between wife and mother on gay marriage.  When asked how I voted wife was pissed because clearly gay marriage will certainly lead to gay divorce and then two lawyers make money.  My 1st landlord was a lawyer and always found an angle to screw every tenant he ever had out of their security deposit.  

But in ensuing 8 years I worked with Suzie and met her partner of 30 years Joan and my feelings toward lawyers have softened a little so I had to vote YES.

My parents certainly think I am going to Hell now.

Bodog is tonight for those that don't have 14th Birthday celebration.

Congrats Phillies

As Brad Lidge was coming into game, Tim McCarver and Joe Buck were talking about how Lidge was perfect on the season, I sent this message to Hoy:

Bayne: Was it Gary Anderson that was perfect for Vikings until he missed Game winning FG against Falcons?

Apologies for quoting without permission

Hoyazo: fuck you

After broken bat single I was sweating that I would be target in rant post but was spared.

More Bodog action on tap at 6:05

Bodog Pocket Pairs

I got dealt pocket Jacks once and pocket Kings 3 times.  Hand above was the only one of the 4 where an Ace didn't flop.  I tried to trap PokerPeaker but he cleverly escaped with a timely net disconnect.

We are now 1 week from the last Presidential election where my daughter can't vote.  The little liberal will fit in well in California.

Time to Bust a Pro

At 6:05 tonight we all have the chance to bust Eric 'Rizen' Lynch for $75 and an autographed copy of his book 'Winning Poker Tournaments One hand at a time' in an online poker tournament.

Tuesdays and Thursdays at 6:05 (Pacific) the series will run with cool bonus add ons.  

Each week top 3 get bonus $T, bubble is extended with 3 buyin refunds and there is end of series $3k tourney.

I managed to take a 3rd in 18 player SNG, win a supersat and took 16th in $4k.  One of these days I will dodge the 2 suckouts that take me out and get to Top 3 again.

End of Poker Content (as it were):

When I was 15 my family moved from Orlando, Florida to Westford, Massachusetts.  We moved in December and I think 1978 was one of the worst years for snow New England experienced.  OMG it was cold and there was a definite shock to my system going from running around outside playing basketball or baseball vs stuck inside shivering.  I probably gained 30 pounds that winter (which lasts until May I believe) from the drop off in activity.    Having spent most of my life to that point moving every 2 years I would adapt and make new friends but weather adjustment limited my new circle that 1st year to a couple of neighbors from bus stop, a few people on the chess team and a few people on the "Math Team" (I grew up in south, had no frckn idea what a "Math Team" was) but schools met in competition and took tests periodically.  

One member of math team was a freshman girl K who ended up taking 4 classes with me over the next two years.  K was certainly one of my 1st friends in Westford but lost touch with all of them because my parents moved to Virginia my 1st quarter in college and I have stopped for gas in Westford once (on ski trip) since but have never really been back.

In a pleasant surprise K emailed me Saturday and we ended up having a long IM during lunch Monday catching up.  Conversation flowed easily but the most shocking takeaway was that she was about my daughter's age when we met.  Where did the time go?

Slumps

The Bodog Poker Tourney series starts tomorrow.

In order to play you must first register here!

I've been a little more stressed at work, the last year has been strange in that main project I have worked on is a lower priority deliverable.  I have been working on higher priority stuff in spurts but suddenly in the last week a derivative of my design is becoming a higher priority.  

Sequia also was recently in the press due to opinion that this downturn is going to adversely impact valley.

My start up bankroll management has always been far superior to my poker bankroll management but I tend to run worse at poker when I think I may need the income.  In last 2 weeks I've overplayed TT a couple of times, been all in on turn only to be 2 outed a couple of times, run KK into AA 2 of the 9 times I was dealt KK and chopped the one time I ran KK into QQ.  

I tried 6 max cap PLO (stacked twice calling caps on turn when they had gutters that rivered), Limit O8 (so many nut lows river counterfeited which also made straights) and people "feeling" the most ridiculous pre-flop all in calls in PLO and being rewarded:

: shows [6s 8h Ad 2d] (a full house, Sixes full of Deuces)

In PLO8 maybe you can call off all your chips pre with this beauty but don't know about PLO.

In a desperate attempt to cleanse kharma I tried online craps (bad idea) and bet on Breeders Cup for a small loss but felt good about my handicapping in that I did hit 2 exactas and had a few horses run close but have 'bad trip'.

I took family to see Beverly Hills Chihuahua in a further attempt to cleanse but when I got home managed to get FullTilt runnign about 30 seconds to late to enter Fiddy.  I did check out my email and found that an old friend from high school had sent an email. I replied "I am that Bayne S from HS and of course I remember you".  Looked at K's Facebook profile and most shocking part is she might look 10 years older than I remember whereas I look closer to the real 30 years since high school. 

K would also not qualify for Don's definition of a slumpbuster but managed to cash in $14k, won an FTOPS 2 seat made a little in cash and have run pretty well in $4k this far.

Want to breakout for Bodog Blogger series and FTOPS.

I Beat the Deadline

I swore to my Father (Oxford County Republican Party Treasurer) that if UIGEA passed I was voting for the Democratic nominee in 2008 even if it was Hillary.

I had until 7 pm to register and despite the crowd at Registrars I turned in registration.

No idea how I am voting on the 30 propositions undoubtably on the ballot but will probably futilely cast a protest vote against my congressman for changing his vote on bailout bill.

I will be so pissed if I get called for jury duty.

Bodog Blogger Poker Series

The Bodog Poker Series returns Tuesday October 28th.  This fall there will be 15 tournies (Tuesdays and Thursdays) leading into the$3k final tourney prize pool.

Each tourney has added prizes and new wrinkle this year is Bodog Casino credit.  The 1st time my wife hears the dice sound effect on the computer it's gonna be big trouble but the rest of you may be able to risk it.

Online poker did not go well for me this weekend.  My only MTT cash was in DD A and that was a weak cash,  I played weaker than normal late while watching Rays defeat Sox.  Another Sunday quality play took me out, UTG raises to 3k (with TT), CO "jams" to 4500 with the mighty KTo and despite flopping 2 pair with QJo river Ace hands the pot to the donkey.

No one tell the wife but I did net a couple of hundred in online craps.  Luckily it lacks excitement of real craps so she has nothing to worry about.

Set over Set over Set Flop

We got all in on flop.

*** FLOP *** [9s 4c 7h]

crazyazn905 checks

zimek checks

Hal Lubarsky bets $12

bayne_s calls $12

CARATLADY folds

jefffalcone has 15 seconds left to act

jefffalcone calls $12

crazyazn905 folds

zimek raises to $59.85, and is all in

Hal Lubarsky raises to $193, and is all in

bayne_s calls $131.30, and is all in

jefffalcone has 15 seconds left to act

jefffalcone has requested TIME

jefffalcone calls $59.95, and is all in

Hal Lubarsky shows [As 2s 2h 9c]

bayne_s shows [9h 2c 9d Ah]

jefffalcone shows [7c 7s 5c Ac]

zimek shows [4d 6s 3h 4s]

Uncalled bet of $49.70 returned to Hal Lubarsky

*** TURN *** [9s 4c 7h] [5s]

*** RIVER *** [9s 4c 7h 5s] [3s]

Hal Lubarsky shows a flush, Ace high, for high and

Hal Lubarsky shows 5,4,3,2,A, for low

bayne_s shows a straight, Five high, for high and

bayne_s shows 5,4,3,2,A, for low

It must be good to be the pro

Sawx in Trouble

The Red Sox are in desperate straits.  They have won 7 consecutive LCS games facing elimination but I am still not comfortable that this is same team.  I think Sox fans need to pull out all the stops.

Having read Hoy yesterday it occurred to me that maybe Hoy was wrong and it was actually the Hammer Wife who woke up the bats.  I would even put her bat awakening skillz at 3:1 greater than Hoy.

I can't quite work out the logistics of me driving kid to/from school and getting to Westchester County so I think Waffles or WWonka69 (as IT says "the sexier Wonka") need to get to Westchester County and reignite the Sox bats.  Now that I type this it is obvious that Wonka is better choice for Westchester mission and Waffles should stay home and do his thing to warm up the Sox arms.

Bad Beat

Surpassed previous effort for selecting the biggest moving stock on the biggest moving day.

I had decided options premiums were too high especially for a $9 stock so bought shares for a change.

Sadly intent was to buy 1000 not 100 but I was already late for a meeting.  If mistake had gone the other way to 10k I don't think I would have survived the stress of the weekend or my wife's wrath as Schwab would have probably called house.

I can't honestly see how a Secretary of the Treasury, who was former Goldman Sachs CEO could allow Morgan Stanley to go under leaving only his former Investment bank as last of 5 Investment Banks.

At some point I will have to examine why I am so willing to gamble with Stocks, with start-up jobs, with craps and with PLO or PLO8, but play NLHE tight.

I blame Waffles

You are The Devil

Materiality. Material Force. Material temptation; sometimes obsession

The Devil is often a great card for business success; hard work and ambition.

Perhaps the most misunderstood of all the major arcana, the Devil is not really "Satan" at all, but Pan the half-goat nature god and/or Dionysius. These are gods of pleasure and abandon, of wild behavior and unbridled desires. This is a card about ambitions; it is also synonymous with temptation and addiction. On the flip side, however, the card can be a warning to someone who is too restrained, someone who never allows themselves to get passionate or messy or wild - or ambitious. This, too, is a form of enslavement. As a person, the Devil can stand for a man of money or erotic power, aggressive, controlling, or just persuasive. This is not to say a bad man, but certainly a powerful man who is hard to resist. The important thing is to remember that any chain is freely worn. In most cases, you are enslaved only because you allow it.

What Tarot Card are You?
Take the Test to Find Out.

90th Anniversary

I was listening to the Dan Patrick Show on my way to pick up the kid from school and learned today is the 90th anniversary of the Georgia Tech vs. Cumberland football game.

Final Score was 222-0.

Best stats from the game was GT was 0-0 passing but had 978 yards on 28 attempts with 20 rushing TDs.

Hopefully after seeing this Angels fans don't feel so bad about losing 4th playoff series to Red Sox.

W00t Live poker

Sadly went out 13th (10 paid) in my Morgan Hill poker tournament.  KTo raised too much from CO,  when I jammed he was getting 3.5:2 on his money and of course hit a K to beat QQ.

I successfully put 2 people on mild tilt and one person on severe tilt levels not seen so far this year.

2nd to last hand before rebuy ended I had 6600 chips and 68s.  Blinds were 300/600 so I raised to 1600 with main purpose being to be able to do rebuy and add at break, of course got 3 callers with A rag.  After I flopped pair and flush draw on A62 flop I felt jam was required and quadrupled up when I turned 2p and rivered flush.  The A rag that rivered 2p was not pleased.

Got moved to new table, picked up AA 1st hand and because it is how I run player to immediate right had QQ and felt need to shove to my reraise. Two hands later he raised again and I reraised and this time he chose to fold.  I did not show but said I had K"kings". While he was still muttering about picking up QQ and JJ in 3 hands and losing his stack player to his right raised bigger than he should have like he didn't want action and I looked at KK for real.  When I reraised and he called showing the suited JackAce I miraculously hit a King along with the Ace on flop and he stormed to cash table muttering about my card rackery.

Post my own bust out I wandered to cash game elated to see PL O8 being played with players who would go to felt with 3rd high or 3rd low.  Cruelly Mr JackAce got stacked by yours truly.  I did not bother to raise my A23J pre-flop as 7-9 players saw the flop whether it was $2 or $7 to see flop. AJA flop was beautiful, 8 on turn got JackAce to call pot bet trapping me as he was looking at A842, 5 on river was just cruel leaving him HU with 2nd nutz/2nd nutz while I had 4 perfect to scoop.

FYI: Waffle's dream girl M was there and sat to my immediate right most of night.

Extracting Value

I over limp pre because Fully_tilted0 is only one in pot so far and bets hard with 1 direction hands, rummyman and warrer have a bloggeresque hand selection criteria so I expect one of them to raise.

rummyman folds

Warrer folds

Illinoislb calls $1

calricky checks

No possible low, I check twice hoping board pairs and finally bet river.

bayne_s wins the pot ($7.60)

Latest Prop Bet

After watching above and realized Sarah Palin created the parody run by SNL I realized what new prop bet with Waffles had to be.

Bayne: you give me 2:1 odds and I will wager Palin is not McCain's running mate by Novemeber
sirfwalgman: wow thats an interesting bet
sirfwalgman: What date is the election?
Bayne: I think it is November 4th
sirfwalgman: 25 bucks
Bayne: I put up $25 to win $50?
sirfwalgman: only 25 because I think this is a total 50/50 proposition
sirfwalgman: oh
sirfwalgman: no
sirfwalgman: you put up 12.50 to win 25 lol
Bayne: okay
Bayne: $12.50 to win $25
sirfwalgman: lol
sirfwalgman: yeah
Bayne: it's a wager
sirfwalgman: ok
sirfwalgman: I think personally
sirfwalgman: it would be too embaressing for him to do that this late
sirfwalgman: even if she is a total wreck
sirfwalgman: but I could be wrong
Bayne: I think his will to win > risk of embarassment and he wanted Lieberman for VP anyway
sirfwalgman: she went from being a HUGE asset to being a joke
sirfwalgman: the Democrats must love this

Baseball Playoff Time

Met up with LJ and Lucko for SF Giants home finale, they claimed to be in town as birthday present but coincidentally this weekend was the culmination of the Folsom Street Fair (leatherweek) NSFW.  We met up at local bar so we could watch morning football games and the historic last game at Shea (and Mets elimination from playoffs SSDY).  

Good aspect of wife meeting LJ is I no longer seem obsessive about fantasy football.

Pathetically this was also 1st trip for family and I to see baseball game at AT&T park.  In my defense Red Sox don't visit.  I was disappointed that Manny took day off (what a surprise) so no opportunity to berate with my best boston accent.  Wife and daughter were troopers as neither really likes baseball but promise of taking them to The Stinking Rose kept daughter well behaved.  We will all reek of garlic for about 3 days as we went with traditional Garlic roasted in EVOO and butter with hint of anchovies appetizer.

The trip home was painful as route I am used to taking from North Beach to 101 was blocked for Folsom Street Festivities.  I was able to endure the traffic, the many leather clad people walking on the adjacent sidewalks until we passed a bear bar that was overflowing.  Daughter spotted a hairy man with large belly wearing short leather shorts and suspenders and said "Does that fat man think wearing those shorts and showing his belly think it will help him have S E X" (yes she spelled out sex).  I did not need that image in my head while driving so told daughter "Mommy will explain that to you after I am dead".  Evil daughter laughed and kept pushing my buttons but thankfully wife got her to stop tormenting me.

Edit: The car this morning had overwhelming garlic aroma and I had to drive with windows down.  I love The STinking Rose but may have to get rental next time.

Debate Night

Having opted not to vote myself and wife would vote for pro-choice Hoover over pro-life FDR we will drop daughter off at "8th Grade dance" and see a movie "Nights in Rodanthe" rather than watch alternating sound bites on talking points that passes for debate in this country.

My Grandfather lived in Nags Head, NC and his brother lived in Hateras, NC so I've been to Rodanthe.  After you stop swimming or fishing there isn't shit to do in Rodanthe.

The Great Schlep

The Great Schlep from The Great Schlep on Vimeo.

My apologies to any MOT I may offend by posting w/o membership.

Victory

Waffles had a nice run but came up short in Mookie.  Surviving the donkey beats to cash in 4/9  Mookies is impressive.  Better luck next bet.

My own Mookie run when OMGItsPokerfool insta-called my AKs jam and rivered two pair with 54s (same fawking suit).

Skillz

Full Tilt Poker Game #8200877457: Blogger Skillz Game (58958300), Table 2 - 150/300 - Pot Limit Omaha Hi - 23:18:38 ET - 2008/09/23

Seat 1: bayne_s (16,050)

Seat 4: PirateLawyer (17,481)

Seat 6: lightning36 (2,949)

Seat 9: cemfredmd (2,520)

cemfredmd posts the big blind of 300

The button is in seat #6

*** HOLE CARDS ***

Dealt to bayne_s [3c Js 4s Jc]

bayne_s calls 300

PirateLawyer calls 300

cemfredmd: gg to both of you

bayne_s: ggs

lightning36 folds

cemfredmd checks

*** FLOP *** [Jd 9s Ks]

cemfredmd checks

3 pay, 4 left, PL has 6x 3rd, I have 5x 3rd.

bayne_s bets 900

PirateLawyer raises to 1,800

cemfredmd folds

To quote Herm Edwards: "You play to win the GAME" and I think I am 60/40

bayne_s raises to 6,300

lightning36: The princes and the paupers   lol

PirateLawyer raises to 17,181, and is all in

bayne_s calls 9,450, and is all in

PirateLawyer shows [4c Ts Qh Ad]

bayne_s shows [3c Js 4s Jc]

Uncalled bet of 1,431 returned to PirateLawyer

*** TURN *** [Jd 9s Ks] [5h]

*** RIVER *** [Jd 9s Ks 5h] [9d]

PirateLawyer shows a straight, King high

bayne_s shows a full house, Jacks full of Nines

bayne_s wins the pot (32,400) with a full house, Jacks full of Nines

*** SUMMARY ***

Total pot 32,400 | Rake 0

Board: [Jd 9s Ks 5h 9d]

Seat 1: bayne_s showed [3c Js 4s Jc] and won (32,400) with a full house, Jacks full of Nines

Seat 4: PirateLawyer showed [4c Ts Qh Ad] and lost with a straight, King high

Seat 6: lightning36 (button) didn't bet (folded)

Seat 9: cemfredmd (big blind) folded on the Flop

32k, vs. 3k, 2500 and 1400 with 150/300 blinds the rest is a formality. But did bubble PL dirty.

Dealt to bayne_s [Jh 9d Kd 2c]

bayne_s raises to 1,050

PirateLawyer calls 981, and is all in

lightning36 folds

cemfredmd folds

bayne_s shows [Jh 9d Kd 2c]

PirateLawyer shows [9c Th Kh Jd]

Uncalled bet of 69 returned to bayne_s

*** FLOP *** [Ks 2s Qh]

*** TURN *** [Ks 2s Qh] [2h]

*** RIVER *** [Ks 2s Qh 2h] [7c]

bayne_s shows a full house, Twos full of Kings

PirateLawyer shows two pair, Kings and Twos

bayne_s wins the pot (2,412) with a full house, Twos full of Kings

PirateLawyer stands up

13 show up for the Mookie  and I have another score manana.

My Take on Bailout

First a disclaimer:

I took 2 classes with Dr. Biven in 1983, one of them was pass/fail.  The thing I remember most was a skinny 6'9" basketball player (who had no handle and no jump shot) telling another basketball player "man, all I need to know about economics is how to spend my million dollar NBA contract" after getting a D on a test.  I decided after the 1986 draft that John Salley knew more about economics than I did.

Treasury Secretary Paulsen has proposed a $700 billion bailout for Wall Street on top of all the other bailouts that Hoy mentioned today. Ben Stein had mentioned that "The amount of subprime that defaulted was at most - after recovery in liquidation - about $250 billion."  

Foreclosure rates are at 2% nationally and delinquency rates are at 6%. and US median price home is at ~$200k. For purposes of using round numbers we will work with 50 million as total number of mortgages in US.

$700 billion would seem to cover $14k/mortgage and would seem to be able to buy goverment ownership of 7% of every home.

If we are going socialist anyway why not try "Bubble Up Economics".

Give homeowners option to opt into program where current mortgage holders can choose to have goverment buy up to 10% of homes, in event of future foreclosure goverment gets sum invested back ahead of any recovered money to homeowner.

The 10% payment from goverment goes directly to mortgage holder and applies towards equity but a 1 time chance to refinance into fixed rate mortgage is also offered.  If there is future sale goverment gets (up to)  10% of gross. 

All the bundled mortgages and derivatives become stronger which reduces the banks issues.

All of this is a bad beat for me as I sold my house in 2007 anticipating the sub-prime mortgages would drive housing prices down and I would be able to buy after the dip in San Jose area.

My preference is still no bailout as I have prepared myself for it but if there is bailout rewarding those who stupidly overextended to get house seems better than rewarding thos who stupidly created  "weapons of financial mass destruction." (Warren Buffet's name for the financial derivatives).

On financial note I bought Asta Funding which is a company that is 78% off it's 52 week high and makes it's money buying "bad debt" at a discount and recouping more than expected.  Just in case Goverment is just giving money away.

Saturday's with Pauly

Kid is on a trip with her BFF's church group to Carmel.  I may have embarrassed her since I enabled 15 day free trial of Sprint's family locator service. and little did I know they seem to send a text message to every phone when you set it up.  Can tell she has reached Carmel.

Running joke in family has been that I was going to have a GPS chip implanted in her but after we watched a "Hogan knows best" (clearly poorly titled) episode. 

I registered to play Pauly's, will be tracking kid's return and may have to exit for pickup if I go deep.

Best Roach Ever

31 tokens, sitting 31st, both of us all in with the ante and dude who went out 32nd had his K9 rivered by Q7 after flopping a 9.

Sadly finished 19th in $4k when semi-bluffing wanna be Euro rivered gutshots on me twice.

Poker results did not matter so much yesterday as at 9:43 Pacific I bought October $22.50 calls for Morgan Stanley.  MS was trading at less than $18 at time. 

If I had gambled same amount on September calls expiring today then I could afford MiamiDon's and Sprstoner's escort bills for a year.